Friday, July 3, 2020

Herd Inmunity


June 12, 2020. Only two ways can Covid-19 be defeated: a vaccine and eighty-percent herd immunity.
American has neither one. Herd immunity would already have prevailed, except for the widespread government lockdowns.
Worldometer now reports there have been 116,035 Covid-19 deaths. With the lockdowns starting to lift and too few people immunized, deaths are now surging.
How many Covid-19 deaths would have been caused if the U.S. government had done nothing except provide good advice.
Hah!
Let’s see: Epidemiologists John Ioannidis and Knut Wittkowski gave advice from the beginning that seemed sensible to me, as follows: 
Lockdowns should have applied to everyone 65 and older - 14.9 percent of the population. Those who are younger but not in good shape might have chosen to stay inside.
This meant that some 80 percent of the people should have gotten out there and mingled, up close and personal. No facemasks. No social distancing. No testing. Children to school. Infection invited; kissing especially encouraged. Few would have died. Most would be unaware they’d been infected.
In about a month, the disease would have run out of potential candidates and died. The immune could then have mingled with the older folks and immunize them as well.
The economy would have suffered a mere blip. No unusual misery, bankruptcy, alcoholism, child abuse, deaths from delayed medical care, or suicide. Possibly 40,000 actual U.S. coronavirus deaths. No hundreds of thousands of deaths in third-world countries because of a U.S. economic slowdown. No unconstitutional abrogation of freedom. No unusual anger and rioting caused by the excessive use of government force.
We were just trying to save lives, say the officials.
Oh sure, you imbecilic royal highnesses. What you’ve done is abominable!