Monday, April 20, 2020

Sweden and U.S. Update


So far, Sweden has had 1,580 reported coronavirus deaths, which is 154 deaths per million population.
The United States has had 40,565 reported coronavirus deaths, or 124 deaths per million population. Both percentages are minuscule.
Sweden’s death rate is higher, but Sweden has kept its economy open.
The U.S. did not. Emotionally and economically, the U.S. lockdowns have been catastrophic. After this is over, I expect to learn that the U.S. lockdowns will have caused more deaths than they’ve saved. Certainly a great deal more worry and unhappiness,
The government couldn’t have just given advice on television but otherwise let people decide for themselves whether they were vulnerable to the virus. Those who deemed themselves healthy could have worked, mingled, and become immune. Oh no, you can’t trust just plain people to make such decisions, right?
Knut Wittkowski, PhD, has been an epidemiological modeler for 35 years. He heads the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at New York’s Rockefeller University.
In an article of the American Institute of Economic Research, Wittkowski said the only thing that stops all respiratory diseases is herd immunity. About 80 percent of the people need to have contact with the virus. The majority won’t even know they were infected, or they’ll have mild symptoms.
Elderly people should be separated and nursing homes closed. But schools should be kept open, he said, with kids mingling to obtain immunity. After about four weeks, they could safely meet with older people, and social distancing could end.